Global economy

There is no recovery

2020-09-082020-11-12
by Tuomas Malinen
Central banks, China, Financial crisis, Global depression, Global economy, Recession

We have been watching, with disbelief and bemusement, how the… Read More »There is no recovery

What now?

2020-08-172020-08-24
by Tuomas Malinen
Banks, China, Financial crisis, Financial markets, Global economy

A year ago, we published a piece entitled “Where from… Read More »What now?

Pillager of the world: The economic impact of Covid 19

2020-04-022020-11-11
by Tuomas Malinen
Coronavirus, Global economy, Growth forecasts, Recession

The 2019-nCov pandemic has ravaged the world economy since February. On the 9th of March, we published forecasts assessing the likely impact of the outbreak going forward under various scenarios. We will publish updated forecasts in a series of Deprcon Special Issues. This is the first of those updates.

Financial markets are becoming unhinged

2020-03-172020-11-11
by Tuomas Malinen
English, Financial crisis, Financial markets, Global depression, Global economy, Recession

The massive emergency easing measures enacted by the Fed over the weekend to inject liquidity into the global financial system are a sign of sheer panic. Both their sheer scale, and radical extent–including cutting rates to zero, $700 billion in new…

Prepper’s Bunker: Coronavirus update II

2020-03-122020-11-11
by Tuomas Malinen
Banks, Bonds, Coronavirus, Credit, English, Financial crisis, Financial markets, Global depression, Global economy

We have been warning about the impending economic crisis since March 2017. Central bankers and Chinese leaders have been able to postpone the onset of the crisis for…

The Stages of the Collapse

2020-02-102021-04-15
by Tuomas Malinen
China, English, Financial crisis, Global depression, Global economy, Recession

In this constantly updating blog -post, we follow the path of the crisis put in motion by the coronavirus.

Coronavirus and the world economy

2020-01-302020-11-11
by Tuomas Malinen
China, English, Global depression, Global economy, Preparation, Recession

The outbreak of the coronavirus epidemic in China has shaken the global asset markets—and with good reason.

The coronavirus has the potential of being the ‘trigger’ which will push the world into a global depression. Here, we briefly explain why.
…

The end of the ‘Chinese Miracle’

2020-01-102020-04-28
by Tuomas Malinen
China, Economic growth, English, Financial crisis, Global depression, Global economy

We have been following China closely for nearly four years. We first warned about the unsustainability of China’s growth in March 2017 and have continued to issue w…

Q-Review 4/2019: Into the Abyss

2019-12-192020-11-11
by Tuomas Malinen
Banks, Bonds, Central banks, China, Credit, English, Global depression, Global economy, Growth forecasts, Recession, Stock market, Zombie companies

The economic calm which has succeeded the turbulent conclusion to 2018 was abruptly shattered on the 16^th of September. On that day, rates in the repo markets spiked by 248 basis points to more than double the overnight lending rate of the…

China (and the world economy) at the end of the road

2019-11-202020-11-11
by Tuomas Malinen
Central banks, China, English, Global depression, Global economy

We have been monitoring China closely since March 2017. We were one of the first to show that China had driven the global business cycle since 2009 and that the rem…