2021: The year of the Black Swans?
A “Black Swan” is best defined as an unforecastable, low-probability,… Read More »2021: The year of the Black Swans?
Central banks
Are Central Bank Digital Currencies a threat to the financial system?
Recently there has been an increased interest in digital currencies.… Read More »Are Central Bank Digital Currencies a threat to the financial system?
The mystery of the stagnated productivity growth
In late 2017 we reported, as probably the first macroanalytic… Read More »The mystery of the stagnated productivity growth
Q-Review 12/2020: The Aftermath of the Coronavirus
How will the coronavirus pandemic alter our economies? It has… Read More »Q-Review 12/2020: The Aftermath of the Coronavirus
Black Swans on Black Friday
On this ’Black Friday’, it’s good to remember that we… Read More »Black Swans on Black Friday
Into the Global Economic Dystopia?
When we first published our scenarios describing global economic collapse… Read More »Into the Global Economic Dystopia?
The destruction of the world economy by the Central Banks
For years, we have been warning about dire consequences if… Read More »The destruction of the world economy by the Central Banks
Are we heading to another ’Great Crash’ (of 1929)?
Stock markets have been wobbly of late. The peak in… Read More »Are we heading to another ’Great Crash’ (of 1929)?
China (and the world economy) at the end of the road
We have been monitoring China closely since March 2017. We were one of the first to show that China had driven the global business cycle since 2009 and that the rem…
Towards the crisis
The world economy has not been in a more precarious situation in over a decade. Growth is faltering everywhere, with the Eurozone flirting with recession, while central banks have returned to monetary easing after just one year of global tightening.