The 2019-nCov pandemic has ravaged the world economy since February. On the 9th of March, we published forecasts assessing the likely impact of the outbreak going forward under various scenarios. We will publish updated forecasts in a series of Deprcon Special Issues. This is the first of those updates.
The massive emergency easing measures enacted by the Fed over the weekend to inject liquidity into the global financial system are a sign of sheer panic. Both their sheer scale, and radical extent–including cutting rates to zero, $700 billion in new…
We have been warning about the impending economic crisis since March 2017. Central bankers and Chinese leaders have been able to postpone the onset of the crisis for…
As shown by the ghastly February PMI prints from China, the coronavirus is about to hit the global economy like a sledgehammer. It has already caused serious disruption in production, air travel and commerce worldwide. And more is on the way.
Howe…
In this constantly updating blog -post, we follow the path of the crisis put in motion by the coronavirus.
The outbreak of the coronavirus epidemic in China has shaken the global asset markets—and with good reason.
The coronavirus has the potential of being the ‘trigger’ which will push the world into a global depression. Here, we briefly explain why.
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We have been following China closely for nearly four years. We first warned about the unsustainability of China’s growth in March 2017 and have continued to issue w…
The economic calm which has succeeded the turbulent conclusion to 2018 was abruptly shattered on the 16th of September. On that day, rates in the repo markets spiked by 248 basis points to more than double the overnight lending rate of the…
One thing has been bothering us for six years. How can so many economists and economic commentators dismiss the ever-increasing market meddling of central banks so lightly?
The first time we warned about this possible threat to financial markets w…
We have been monitoring China closely since March 2017. We were one of the first to show that China had driven the global business cycle since 2009 and that the rem…
